
Roger Koppl
Professor of Finance
315-443-4535
Room: 612
Contact Me
Ph D, Auburn University (Economics)
Koppl’s research interests include the economic theory of experts, the theory of economic growth, complexity theory, and the production and distribution of knowledge in society. His work on forensic science reform has been featured in Forbes magazine, The Washington Post, The Atlantic, Reason magazine, Slate, The Huffington Post, and other outlets. His work on expert failure has been featured in The Sunday Telegraph, The Times of Israel, Il Sole 24 Ore, Arizona Daily, The Critic, Real Clear Policy, and other outlets.
Koppl's Erdös number is 3.
Working Papers
- "Constraints on modeling systems from within systems: the principle of frame relativity", , 2021 (with Devereaux, A., Kauffman, S., Roli, A.)
- "Explaining Technology", , 2021 (with Devereaux, A., Valverde, S., Solé, R., Kauffman, S., Herriot, J.)
- "The Penrosean spinout: A new spin on the theory of the entrepreneurial firm", (with Diaz, F., Minniti, M.)
- "Public health and expert failure", Public Choice, 2022
- "Against Expertism", Review of Behavioral Economics, 8(3-4), 361-377, 2021
- "Expert failure and pandemics: On adapting to life with pandemics", Cosmos + Taxis, 9(5-6), 7-17, 2021 (with Murphy, J., Devereaux, A., Goodman, N.)
- "Scheall on the Epistemic Limits of Policy", Cosmos + Taxis, 9(3-4), 23-34, 2021
- "On the emergence of ecological and economic niches", Journal of Bioeconomics, 22(2), 99-127, 2020 (with Cazzolla Gatti, R., Fath, B., Kauffman, S., Hordijk, W., Ulanowicz, R.)
- "Letter to the Editor: Do Court-Assessed Fees Induce Laboratory Contingency Bias in Crime Laboratories?", Journal of Forensic Sciences, 65(5), 1793-1794, 2020
- "Leland Bennett Yeager: 1924–2018", Independent Review, The, 23(3), 435-442, 2019
- "Strategic Choice in Linear Sequential Unmasking", Science & justice; Formerly known as journal of the Forensic Science Society, 59(2), 166-171, 2019
- " Response Paper (in “Symposium on Roger Koppl’s Expert Failure”)", Cosmos + Taxis, 7(1-2), 73-84, 2019
- "Letter to the Editor: Reply to Biedermann and Gittelson", Science & justice; Formerly known as journal of the Forensic Science Society, 59(4), 467-469, 2019
- "Appropriate standards for verification and validation of probabilistic genotyping systems", Journal of Forensic Sciences, 63(1), 339-340, 2018 (with Adams, N., Krane, D., Thompson, W., Zabell, S.)
- "Rules vs. discretion under computability constraints", , 4(1), 32, 2017
- "Still Against Design: A Response to Steven Calabresi, Sanford Levinson and Vernon Smith", Arizona State Law Journal , 48(1), 241-248, 2016 (with Devins, C., Kauffman, S., Felin, T.)
- "Economics for a creative world", Journal of Institutional Economics, 11(1 ), 1–31, 2015 (with KAUFFMAN, S., FELIN, T., LONGO, G.)
- "Economics for a creative world: a response to comments", Journal of Institutional Economics, 11(1 ), 61-68, 2015 (with KAUFFMAN, S., FELIN, T., LONGO, G.)
- "Against Design", Arizona State Law Journal , 47(3), 609-681, 2015 (with Devins, C., Stuart, K., Teppo, F.)
- "Do Observer Effects Matter? A Comment on Langenburg, Bochet, and Ford", Forensic Science Policy & Management: An International Journal, 6(1-2), 1-6, 2015 (with David, C., Irving, K., Dan, K., Michael, R., Christopher, R., Michael, S., William, T.)
- "Economic Opportunity and Evolution: Beyond Landscapes and Bounded Rationality", Strategic Entrepreneurship Journal, 8(4), 269–282, 2014 (with Felin, T., Kauffman, S., Longo, G.)
- "The Criminal Justice System Creates Incentives for False Convictions", Criminal Justice Ethics, 32(2), 126-162, 2013 (with Sacks, M.)
- "Using procedural justice to understand, explain, and prevent decision-making errors in forensic sciences", Organization Management Journal, 10(2), 99-109, 2013 (with Behson, S.)
- "Experts and information choice", Advances in Austrian Economics, 17, 171-202, 2012
- "Hayek, Keynes, and modern macroeconomics", , 25(3), 223-241, 2012 (with Luther, W.)
- "Leveraging Bias in Forensic Science", Fordham Urban Law Journal, 39, 37, 2012
- "Speaking of experts: An introduction to the volume", Advances in Austrian Economics, 17, 1-16, 2012
- "Alfred Schutz Interview on Economics and Politics", Schutzian Research, 3, 15–24, 2011 (with Augier, M.)
- "Introduction to the Schutz Interview", Schutzian Research. A Yearbook of Lifeworldly Phenomenology and Qualitative Social Science(Volume 3), 15–24, 2011 (with Augier, M.)
- "Commentary on: Thornton JI. Letter to the editor-a rejection of "working blind" as a cure for contextual bias. J Forensic Sci 2010;55(6):1663", Journal of Forensic Sciences, 56(2), 562-563, 2011 (with Thompson, W., Ford, S., Gilder, J., Inman, K., Jamieson, A., Kornfield, I., Krane, D., Mnookin, J., Risinger, D., Rudin, N., Saks, M., Zabell, S.)
- "Monetary policy regimes in macroeconomic data: An application of fractal analysis", Quarterly Review of Economics and Finance, 51(2), 201-211, 2011 (with Mulligan, R.)
- "Against representative agent methodology", , 24(1), 43-55, 2011
- "An experimental study of blind proficiency tests in forensic science", , 24(3), 251-271, 2011 (with Cowan, E.)
- "A battle of forensic experts is not a race to the bottom", Review of Political Economy, 22(2), 235-262, 2010 (with Cowan, E.)
- "Commentary on: Budowle B, Bottrell MC, Bunch SG, Fram R, Harrison D, Meagher S, Oien CT, Peterson PE, Seiger DP,Smith MB, Smrz MA, Soltis GL, Stacey RB. A perspective on errors, bias, and interpretation in the forensic sciences and direction for continuing advancement. J Forensic Sci 2009;54(4):798-809", Journal of Forensic Sciences, 55(1), 273-274, 2010 (with Krane, D., Ford, S., Gilder, J., Inman, K., Jamieson, A., Kornfield, I., Michael Risinger, D., Rudin, N., Scott Taylor, M., Thompson, W.)
- "Confessions of a neuro-Hayekian", Advances in Austrian Economics, 13, 391-397, 2010
- "Introduction: Regrettably exciting times", Advances in Austrian Economics, 14, 1-23, 2010
- "Rational bias in forensic science", Law, Probability and Risk, 9(1), 69–90, 2010 (with Whitman, G.)
- "Carabelli & De Vecchi on Keynes and Hayek", Review of Political Economy, 16(2), 239-247, 2004 (with Butos, W.)
- "Retrospectives: animal spirits", Journal of Economic Perspectives, 5(3), 203–210, 1991
Awards and Honors
- Citations: Scopus lists 29 citations for me during 2016. (2016)
- Citations: Web of Science lists 29 works citing me in 2016 excluding the two self-citations of my co-authors. (2016)
- Cited in: Executive Office of the President President’s Council of Advisors on Science and Technology. REPORT TO THE PRESIDENT Forensic Science in Criminal Courts: Ensuring Scientific Validity of Feature-Comparison Methods (2016)
- Elinor Ostrom Prize - World Interdisciplinary Network for Institutional Research (2016)
- Cited in: Shaer, Matthew. “The False Promise of DNA Testing,” The Atlantic (PRINT edition) (2016)
- Cited in: Hanke,” Steve H. “Big Players (Read: Governments) Make Markets UnsafeZerohedge.com and Cato.org, April 2016. (2016)
- Cited in: Hanke, Steve, "Economic Headwinds: Big Players, Regime Uncertainty and the Misery Index" - GlobeAsia and http://www.cato.org/publications/commentary/economic-headwinds-big-players-regime-uncertainty-misery-index (2016)
- Citations: Scopus lists 36 citations for me during 2015 (2015)
- Citations: Web of Science lists 40 works citing me in 2015, excluding my self citations. (2015)
- Special recognition of my proposal "Cross-lab Redundancy in Forensic Science," submitted to Pioneer's 2015 Better Government Competition. - Pioneer Institute (2015)
- Templeton Freedom Award - National Center for Policy Analysis (2012)
- President - Society for the Development of Austrian Economics (2005)
- H. B. Earhart Fellow (1986)
- C. Lambe Fellow - Institute for Humane Studies (1985)
- F. L. Hill Fellow - Institute for Humane Studies (1985)
- Austrian Economics Fellow - New York University (1980)
Media Placements
“Society Advances One Dead Economist at a Time with Roger Koppl,” All Power To The Imagination podcast #12, 21 August 2021 , All Power To The Imagination 8.21.21
Narrow and unbalanced Sage leaves the Government in a lockdown bind , The Sunday Telegraph 7.18.21
The Scientific Experts Have Failed – Terminate their Tyranny , The Times of Israel 2.16.21
Robinhood and Redditors: Who's robbin' who? , EconLib 2.2.21
Expert Failure: Time to Dismantle the “Public Health” Police State , Arizona Daily Independent 12.2.20
We need a market for expert advice, and competition among experts , IEA UK 11.3.20
The government and its experts aren't asking themselves the right questions before they restrict our fundamental freedoms , The House 9.30.20
Q2 2020 Hedge Fund Holdings: Top Stocks, New Buys & More , Wallet Hub 8.27.20
People Are Right to Be Skeptical of Experts. That's Why We Need More of Them. , RealClearPolicy 7.29.20
Mother Nature Isn't Human Nature: A Wicked Problem , EconLib 5.14.20
The fallen state of experts , The Critic 5.8.20
Pandemics and the Problem of Expert Failure (cont.) , EconLib 4.2.20
Pandemics and the Problem of Expert Failure (continued) , econlib.org 3.31.20
Pandemics and the Problem of Expert Failure , econlib.org 3.30.20
Value expertise but fear expert power and monopoly (guest: Roger Koppl) , Heartland Institute 12.10.19
Roger Koppl: Expert Failure , This Is Not a Pipe Podcast 9.5.19
How do we improve forensics? , Washington Post 8.26.19
How Do We Reconcile Law Science? , Washington Post 8.6.19
How much should juries rely on expert testimony? , Washington Post 7.16.19
We need to fix forensics. But how? , Washington Post 6.20.19
Flawed forensics, 20,000 wrongful convictions and government's culpability , Heartland Institute 6.18.19
Il Populismo Ereditato Dalla Crisi Degli Esperti , Il Sole 24 Ore 10.5.18
Q2 2018 Hedge Fund Holdings: Top Stocks, New Buys & More , WalletHub 8.30.18
We Need to Talk About Bess , History Today 7.23.18